Jan 2, 2023
Autodesk, Inc
ADSK
Statistics
| $305.20 | Share Price |
| $263.00 | Fair Value  |
| 16.05% | Price vs Fair Value |
| $66.2 B | Market Cap |
| 13.1% | 3yr Avg Revenue Growth |
| 12.0% | Projected Sales Growth Next Year |
| 21.1% | Free Cash Flow ROIC |
 | Rising Revenues |
| Recurring Revenues |
 | Network Effect Moat |
| High Switching Costs Moat |
Stock Research and Updates
Research Article
Autodesk: Industry Standard For Over 30 Years
Updates
No Surprises From Autodesk in Q2
Aug 30, 2024
Predictably Boring Results From Autodesk
Jun 12, 2024
Last Q4 Update: ADSK, SNPS, SPT, ADBE
Mar 22, 2024
Updates for Autodesk, Zscaler, and Workday
Nov 30, 2023
Updates on SNPS, GLBE, and ADSK
May 29, 2023
Updating Autodesk, Mercadolibre, and Synopsys
Feb 25, 2023
Fair Value Calculation Assumptions
Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for Autodesk, Inc (ADSK) is $263.00.
| 31.0% | Free Cash Flow Margin |
| 9.5% | Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return |
| 10.2% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5) |
| -5.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5) |
| 7.2% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10) |
| -1.9% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10) |
| 5.0% | Terminal Growth Rate |
| $280.03 | Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows |
| $-16.75 | Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share |
| $263.00 | Fair Value Estimate (rounded) |
Last updated Aug 30, 2024
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Watch List
| SE | 53.62% |
| PINS | 2.38% |
| MA | 9.82% |
| CMG | 77.97% |
| GOOG | 41.40% |
| PSTG | 10.89% |
| SEMR | -5.93% |
| INTU | 26.06% |
| SMAR | 24.20% |
| GTLB | 35.36% |
| CRWD | 64.32% |
| VEEV | 11.64% |
| WDAY | 8.74% |
| SNOW | -6.97% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
| ODD | -29.57% |
| ASR | -28.58% |
| PAYC | -25.20% |
| HRMY | -52.24% |
| YOU | -46.20% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| MSFT | -24.59% |
| FLYW | 16.52% |
| CELH | -14.72% |
| TOST | 49.12% |
| CPNG | 2.94% |
| HIMS | -15.96% |
| MNDY | 22.39% |
| GLBE | -1.75% |
| ZS | 22.37% |
| V | -13.61% |
| ADSK | 16.05% |
| NOW | 41.37% |
| ABNB | -21.29% |
| MELI | -22.31% |
| FTNT | -2.38% |
| TEAM | 10.59% |
| ADBE | -15.89% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates