Feb 23, 2024
Alphabet, Inc
GOOG
Statistics
$169.24 | Share Price |
$127.00 | Fair Value |
33.26% | Price vs Fair Value |
$2.1 T | Market Cap |
19.0% | 3yr Avg Revenue Growth |
11.6% | Projected Sales Growth Next Year |
26.1% | Free Cash Flow ROIC |
Rising Revenues | |
Recurring Revenues | |
Brand Moat | |
Network Effect Moat | |
High Switching Costs Moat |
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Fair Value Calculation Assumptions
Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for Alphabet, Inc (GOOG) is $127.00.
28.5% | Free Cash Flow Margin |
10.2% | Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return |
10.6% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5) |
-2.2% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5) |
7.8% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10) |
-2.5% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10) |
6.0% | Terminal Growth Rate |
$121.65 | Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows |
$5.19 | Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share |
$127.00 | Fair Value Estimate (rounded) |
Last updated Oct 31, 2024
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Watch List
SNOW | 18.99% |
SE | 57.20% |
PINS | 1.07% |
MA | 8.90% |
CMG | 81.76% |
GOOG | 33.26% |
PSTG | 14.58% |
SEMR | -1.60% |
INTU | 32.82% |
SMAR | 24.16% |
GTLB | 44.00% |
CRWD | 66.30% |
VEEV | 14.12% |
WDAY | 12.16% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
MSFT | -25.47% |
ODD | -25.01% |
ASR | -30.34% |
HRMY | -51.13% |
YOU | -47.16% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
FLYW | 19.12% |
CELH | -9.22% |
TOST | 48.63% |
CPNG | 2.13% |
HIMS | -13.75% |
PAYC | -21.72% |
MNDY | 31.55% |
GLBE | 6.15% |
ZS | 24.13% |
V | -14.16% |
ADSK | 19.93% |
NOW | 44.82% |
ABNB | -20.20% |
MELI | -20.22% |
FTNT | 1.10% |
TEAM | 13.38% |
ADBE | -15.08% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates