May 23, 2023
HubSpot, Inc
HUBS
Statistics
| $539.69 | Share Price |
| $266.00 | Fair Value |
| 102.89% | Price vs Fair Value |
| $27.0 B | Market Cap |
| 35.0% | 3yr Avg Revenue Growth |
| 15.8% | Projected Sales Growth Next Year |
| 15.6% | Free Cash Flow ROIC |
 | Rising Revenues |
| Recurring Revenues |
 | High Switching Costs Moat |
Stock Research and Updates
Research Article
Updates
Removing Several Stocks From Watch List
Feb 17, 2024
Reviewing HubSpot, monday.com, and Global-e
Nov 21, 2023
Earnings Updates: HUBS, ABNB, FTNT
Aug 12, 2023
Fair Value Calculation Assumptions
Using a discounted free cash flow model with the following assumptions, the Fair Value estimate for HubSpot, Inc (HUBS) is $266.00.
| 21.5% | Free Cash Flow Margin |
| 11.2% | Discount Rate / Required Rate of Return |
| 14.2% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 1-5) |
| 2.8% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 1-5) |
| 8.8% | Average Annual Revenue Growth (Years 6-10) |
| 1.0% | Average Annual Share Dilution (Years 6-10) |
| 6.0% | Terminal Growth Rate |
| $250.82 | Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flows |
| $15.59 | Net "Excess" Cash/Debt Per Share |
| $266.00 | Fair Value Estimate (rounded) |
Last updated Feb 17, 2024
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Watch List
| WDAY | -14.66% |
| VEEV | 10.18% |
| INTU | 12.14% |
| PSTG | -9.24% |
| CMG | 30.19% |
| RDDT | -3.84% |
| NTNX | 14.13% |
| CRWD | 71.52% |
| SE | 19.77% |
| SNOW | 2.45% |
| APPF | 3.69% |
| PINS | -38.39% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Buy List
| ASML | -27.09% |
| SEMR | -42.13% |
| TSM | -45.61% |
| ZETA | -36.33% |
| GOOG | -52.81% |
| NYAX | -34.93% |
| MSFT | -33.01% |
| ODD | -33.41% |
| ASR | -30.64% |
| FLYW | -42.71% |
| HRMY | -61.01% |
| GLBE | -29.48% |
| YOU | -34.88% |
| ABNB | -36.69% |
| MELI | -27.66% |
| ADBE | -45.75% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates
Hold List
| VTEX | -20.00% |
| CELH | 48.96% |
| TOST | 14.30% |
| CPNG | -19.28% |
| HIMS | -22.20% |
| PAYC | -21.97% |
| MNDY | 6.61% |
| ZS | 23.37% |
| V | -8.70% |
| ADSK | -3.90% |
| NOW | -6.74% |
| FTNT | -5.75% |
| TEAM | -11.07% |
vs. Fair Value Estimates